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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Partida ·

Aguaí Sub20 vs São Paulo Sub20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–34.17 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa7%
Empate12%
Vitória visitante80%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 80% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante80% selection probability
Projected score1–3Aguaí Sub20São Paulo Sub20
Expected goals4.17Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima79% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
7% / 12% / 80%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante80%1.25
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Aguaí Sub20 win (7.4%)Dupla ChanceX292.6%1.08
Acima 79% · Abaixo 21%Goals 2.5Acima79%1.27
Sim 50% · Não 50%Ambas as equipes marcamSim50%2.00
4.17 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–3
9.3 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.1%Largest probability gapAguaí Sub20 winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aguaí Sub20 win7%14.2912.007.8%-0.8 pp
Empate12%8.337.5012.4%-0.4 pp
São Paulo Sub20 win80%1.251.1779.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aguaí Sub200.73

Mandante share of expected goals 17.5%

Total expected goals4.17Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 79% · Abaixo 21%

São Paulo Sub203.44

Visitante share of expected goals 82.5%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitSim 50% · Não 50%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Aguaí Sub20

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

São Paulo Sub20

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Pontos9

SignalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
7%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
80%
4
Points from supplied form
9
0.73
Expected goals
3.44
Aguaí Sub20São Paulo Sub20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aguaí Sub20 signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02São Paulo Sub20 signalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk20% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

Aguaí Sub20 vs São Paulo Sub20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–3 · 80% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aguaí Sub20 ganhou 7%,Empate 12%,São Paulo Sub20 ganhou 80%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.17 · Acima 2.5 79% · Current selection Acima