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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Fixture ·

Sportivo Belgrano vs CA 9 de Julio Rafaela

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.51 expected goals
Away form
Home win57%
Draw26%
Away win17%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win57% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sportivo BelgranoCA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
57% / 26% / 17%Match resultHome win57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA 9 de Julio Rafaela win (17%)Double chance1X83%1.20
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
2.51 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Sportivo Belgrano win57%1.75
Draw26%3.85
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Belgrano1.88

Home share of expected goals 74.9%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela0.63

Away share of expected goals 25.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sportivo Belgrano

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn5Losses0Points5

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Win probability excluding draw
17%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.88
Expected goals
0.63
Sportivo BelgranoCA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Belgrano signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA 9 de Julio Rafaela signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Sportivo Belgrano vs CA 9 de Julio Rafaela FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Belgrano win 57%,Draw 26%,CA 9 de Julio Rafaela win 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under