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ARG アルゼンチン トルネオA · 試合 ·

スポルティヴォ・ベルグラーノ vs CA 9デ・フリオ・デ・ラファラ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.51 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利56%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利17%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利56% selection probability
Projected score2–1スポルティヴォ・ベルグラーノCA 9デ・フリオ・デ・ラファラ
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー54% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
56% / 28% / 17%試合結果ホーム勝利56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA 9デ・フリオ・デ・ラファラ win (16.7%)ダブルチャンス1X83.3%1.20
オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%Goals 2.5アンダー54%1.85
はい 40% · いいえ 60%両チーム得点いいえ60%1.67
2.51 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.9 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapスポルティヴォ・ベルグラーノ winDifference+1.4 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
スポルティヴォ・ベルグラーノ win56%1.791.6554.6%+1.4 pp
引き分け28%3.573.2028.2%-0.2 pp
CA 9デ・フリオ・デ・ラファラ win17%5.885.2517.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

スポルティヴォ・ベルグラーノ1.88

ホーム share of expected goals 74.9%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%

CA 9デ・フリオ・デ・ラファラ0.63

アウェイ share of expected goals 25.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 40% · いいえ 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

スポルティヴォ・ベルグラーノ

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn5Losses0ポイント5

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

CA 9デ・フリオ・デ・ラファラ

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
勝ち probability excluding draw
17%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.88
Expected goals
0.63
スポルティヴォ・ベルグラーノCA 9デ・フリオ・デ・ラファラ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01スポルティヴォ・ベルグラーノ signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA 9デ・フリオ・デ・ラファラ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

スポルティヴォ・ベルグラーノ vs CA 9デ・フリオ・デ・ラファラ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

スポルティヴォ・ベルグラーノ 勝ち 56%,引き分け 28%,CA 9デ・フリオ・デ・ラファラ 勝ち 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · オーバー 2.5 46% · Current selection アンダー