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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Матч ·

Спортиво Бельграно vs КА 9 де Джулио Рафаэла

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.51 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев56%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей17%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Спортиво БельграноКА 9 де Джулио Рафаэла
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше54% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
56% / 28% / 17%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes КА 9 де Джулио Рафаэла win (16.7%)Двойной шанс1X83.3%1.20
Больше 46% · Меньше 54%Goals 2.5Меньше54%1.85
Да 40% · Нет 60%Обе забьютНет60%1.67
2.51 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.9 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapСпортиво Бельграно winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Спортиво Бельграно win56%1.791.6554.6%+1.4 pp
Ничья28%3.573.2028.2%-0.2 pp
КА 9 де Джулио Рафаэла win17%5.885.2517.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Спортиво Бельграно1.88

Хозяева share of expected goals 74.9%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 46% · Меньше 54%

КА 9 де Джулио Рафаэла0.63

Гости share of expected goals 25.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 40% · Нет 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Спортиво Бельграно

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn5Losses0Баллы5

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

КА 9 де Джулио Рафаэла

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
17%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.88
Expected goals
0.63
Спортиво БельграноКА 9 де Джулио Рафаэла
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Спортиво Бельграно signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02КА 9 де Джулио Рафаэла signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Спортиво Бельграно vs КА 9 де Джулио Рафаэла FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Спортиво Бельграно выигрыш 56%,Ничья 28%,КА 9 де Джулио Рафаэла выигрыш 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · ТБ 2.5 46% · Current selection Меньше