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EUR UEFA Champions League Qualifying · Fixture ·

NEC vs Olympiacos

Archived pre-match prediction

Home form
Projected score1–12.65 expected goals
Away form
Home win36%
Draw30%
Away win35%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 36% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win36% selection probability
Projected score1–1NECOlympiacos
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 30% / 35%Match resultHome win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.8%)Double chance1270.2%1.42
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
2.65 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NEC win36%2.782.7534.1%
Draw30%3.333.1030.2%
Olympiacos win35%2.862.6335.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NEC1.39

Home share of expected goals 52.5%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Olympiacos1.26

Away share of expected goals 47.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

NEC

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Olympiacos

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Win probability excluding draw
35%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.39
Expected goals
1.26
NECOlympiacos
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NEC signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Olympiacos signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

NEC vs Olympiacos FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NEC win 36%,Draw 30%,Olympiacos win 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under