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INT Peru Liga 1 · Fixture ·

Universitario de Deportes vs CD Los Chankas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.70 expected goals
Away form
Home win56%
Draw26%
Away win18%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Universitario de DeportesCD Los Chankas
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
56% / 26% / 18%Match resultHome win56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CD Los Chankas win (18%)Double chance1X82%1.22
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 45% · No 55%Both teams scoreNo55%1.82
2.70 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Universitario de Deportes win56%1.79
Draw26%3.85
CD Los Chankas win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Universitario de Deportes1.97

Home share of expected goals 73%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

CD Los Chankas0.73

Away share of expected goals 27%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 45% · No 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Universitario de Deportes

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

CD Los Chankas

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Win probability excluding draw
18%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.97
Expected goals
0.73
Universitario de DeportesCD Los Chankas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Universitario de Deportes signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Los Chankas signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Universitario de Deportes vs CD Los Chankas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Universitario de Deportes win 56%,Draw 26%,CD Los Chankas win 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over