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INT Peru Liga 1 · Fixture ·

Sport Boys vs Cienciano

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Away form
Home win36%
Draw31%
Away win33%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sport BoysCienciano
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 31% / 33%Match resultHome win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.2%)Double chance1268.8%1.45
Over 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Yes 45% · No 55%Both teams scoreNo55%1.82
2.19 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Sport Boys win36%2.78
Draw31%3.23
Cienciano win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sport Boys1.15

Home share of expected goals 52.5%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 37% · Under 63%

Cienciano1.04

Away share of expected goals 47.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 45% · No 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sport Boys

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Cienciano

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Win probability excluding draw
33%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.15
Expected goals
1.04
Sport BoysCienciano
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sport Boys signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cienciano signalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Sport Boys vs Cienciano FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sport Boys win 36%,Draw 31%,Cienciano win 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Over 2.5 37% · Current selection Under