Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 27% / 39%Match resultAway win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Double chance1273.4%1.36
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.85 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Los Chankas win34%2.942.7534%0.0 pp
Draw27%3.703.5026.7%+0.3 pp
FBC Melgar win39%2.562.3839.3%-0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 51.9%
Total expected goals2.85Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%
Away share of expected goals 48.1%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchCD Los Chankas
DWLWD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchFBC Melgar
LDWWW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
34%
Win probability excluding draw
39%8
Points from supplied form
101.48
Expected goals
1.37CD Los ChankasFBC Melgar
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
CD Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
CD Los Chankas win 34%，Draw 27%，FBC Melgar win 39%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.85 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over。