Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 30% / 34%Match resultHome win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.6%)Double chance1270.4%1.42
Over 23% · Under 77%Goals 2.5Under77%1.30
Yes 32% · No 68%Both teams scoreNo68%1.47
1.66 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Moquegua win37%2.702.5536.5%+0.5 pp
Draw30%3.333.2029.1%+0.9 pp
Sport Boys win34%2.942.7034.5%-0.5 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 57.2%
Total expected goals1.66Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 23% · Under 77%
Away share of expected goals 42.8%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 32% · No 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchDeportivo Moquegua
LDDDL
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchSport Boys
DWWLW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
37%
Win probability excluding draw
34%3
Points from supplied form
100.95
Expected goals
0.71Deportivo MoqueguaSport Boys
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Deportivo Moquegua vs Sport Boys FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Deportivo Moquegua win 37%，Draw 30%，Sport Boys win 34%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.66 · Over 2.5 23% · Current selection Under。