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INT Peru Liga 1 · Partita ·

Deportivo Moquegua vs Sport Boys

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.66 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa37%
Pareggio30%
Vittoria ospite34%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo MoqueguaSport Boys
Expected goals1.66Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto77% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
37% / 30% / 34%Esito partitaVittoria casa37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.6%)Doppia Chance1270.4%1.42
Sopra 23% · Sotto 77%Goals 2.5Sotto77%1.30
Sì 32% · No 68%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo68%1.47
1.66 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Moquegua win37%2.702.5536.5%+0.5 pp
Pareggio30%3.333.2029.1%+0.9 pp
Sport Boys win34%2.942.7034.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Moquegua0.95

Casa share of expected goals 57.2%

Total expected goals1.66Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 23% · Sotto 77%

Sport Boys0.71

Trasferta share of expected goals 42.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 32% · No 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Deportivo Moquegua

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punti3

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Sport Boys

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vinta probability excluding draw
34%
3
Points from supplied form
10
0.95
Expected goals
0.71
Deportivo MoqueguaSport Boys
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Moquegua signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sport Boys signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Deportivo Moquegua vs Sport Boys FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Moquegua vinta 37%,Pareggio 30%,Sport Boys vinta 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.66 · Sopra 2.5 23% · Current selection Sotto