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INT Peru Liga 1 · Fixture ·

FC Cajamarca vs Universitario de Deportes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.67 expected goals
Away form
Home win21%
Draw26%
Away win53%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win53% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC CajamarcaUniversitario de Deportes
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under50% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
21% / 26% / 53%Match resultAway win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Cajamarca win (21.5%)Double chanceX278.5%1.27
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Under50%2.00
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
2.67 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.8%Largest probability gapUniversitario de Deportes winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Cajamarca win21%4.764.5020.6%+0.4 pp
Draw26%3.853.6025.8%+0.2 pp
Universitario de Deportes win53%1.891.7353.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Cajamarca1.26

Home share of expected goals 47.2%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

Universitario de Deportes1.41

Away share of expected goals 52.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Cajamarca

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Universitario de Deportes

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Win probability excluding draw
53%
5
Points from supplied form
10
1.26
Expected goals
1.41
FC CajamarcaUniversitario de Deportes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Cajamarca signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Universitario de Deportes signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FC Cajamarca vs Universitario de Deportes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Cajamarca win 21%,Draw 26%,Universitario de Deportes win 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Under