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INT Peru Liga 1 · Final ·

CD Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score0–3Prognose 1–1
Ude form
Hjemmesejr34%
Uafgjort27%
Udesejr39%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction Vundet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr39% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD Los ChankasFBC Melgar
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
34% / 27% / 39%KampresultatUdesejr39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Dobbeltchance1273.4%1.36
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Ja 58% · Nej 42%Begge hold scorerJa58%1.72
2.85 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Los Chankas win34%2.942.7534%0.0 pp
Uafgjort27%3.703.5026.7%+0.3 pp
FBC Melgar win39%2.562.3839.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Los Chankas1.48

Hjemme share of expected goals 51.9%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

FBC Melgar1.37

Ude share of expected goals 48.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nej 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

CD Los Chankas

1.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Point8

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

FBC Melgar

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Vundet probability excluding draw
39%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.48
Expected goals
1.37
CD Los ChankasFBC Melgar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Los Chankas signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FBC Melgar signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

CD Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Los Chankas vundet 34%,Uafgjort 27%,FBC Melgar vundet 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over