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INT Peru Liga 1 · Final ·

CD Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score0–3Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg34%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg39%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg39% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD Los ChankasFBC Melgar
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über54% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
34% / 27% / 39%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Doppelte Chance1273.4%1.36
Über 54% · Unter 46%Goals 2.5Über54%1.85
Ja 58% · Nein 42%Beide Teams treffenJa58%1.72
2.85 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.8 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Los Chankas win34%2.942.7534%0.0 pp
Unentschieden27%3.703.5026.7%+0.3 pp
FBC Melgar win39%2.562.3839.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Los Chankas1.48

Heim share of expected goals 51.9%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 54% · Unter 46%

FBC Melgar1.37

Auswärts share of expected goals 48.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nein 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

CD Los Chankas

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FBC Melgar

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
39%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.48
Expected goals
1.37
CD Los ChankasFBC Melgar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Los Chankas signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FBC Melgar signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

CD Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Los Chankas Gewinn 34%,Unentschieden 27%,FBC Melgar Gewinn 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Über 2.5 54% · Current selection Über