Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 30% / 23%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fredrikstad win (22.6%)Double chance1X77.4%1.29
Over 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Yes 41% · No 59%Both teams scoreNo59%1.69
2.23 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Lillestrom win48%2.08
Draw30%3.33
Fredrikstad win23%4.35
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 66.8%
Total expected goals2.23Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 39% · Under 61%
Away share of expected goals 33.2%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 41% · No 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchLillestrom
DDLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchFredrikstad
WWWLL
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalAway won 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
48%
Win probability excluding draw
23%2
Points from supplied form
91.49
Expected goals
0.74LillestromFredrikstad
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Lillestrom win 48%，Draw 30%，Fredrikstad win 23%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.23 · Over 2.5 39% · Current selection Under。