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Лиллестрём vs Фредрикстад

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.23 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев48%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей23%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев48% selection probability
Projected score1–1ЛиллестрёмФредрикстад
Expected goals2.23Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше61% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
48% / 30% / 23%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Фредрикстад win (22.6%)Двойной шанс1X77.4%1.29
Больше 39% · Меньше 61%Goals 2.5Меньше61%1.64
Да 41% · Нет 59%Обе забьютНет59%1.69
2.23 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.3 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Лиллестрём win48%2.08
Ничья30%3.33
Фредрикстад win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Лиллестрём1.49

Хозяева share of expected goals 66.8%

Total expected goals2.23Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 39% · Меньше 61%

Фредрикстад0.74

Гости share of expected goals 33.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 41% · Нет 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Лиллестрём

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Фредрикстад

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalГости won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
23%
2
Points from supplied form
9
1.49
Expected goals
0.74
ЛиллестрёмФредрикстад
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Лиллестрём signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Фредрикстад signalГости won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Лиллестрём vs Фредрикстад FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Лиллестрём выигрыш 48%,Ничья 30%,Фредрикстад выигрыш 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.23 · ТБ 2.5 39% · Current selection Меньше