Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 31% / 32%Match resultHome win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.2%)Double chance1268.8%1.45
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapDorados winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dorados win37%2.702.6335.9%+1.1 pp
Draw31%3.233.0031.5%-0.5 pp
Tlaxcala FC win32%3.132.9032.6%-0.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 57.9%
Total expected goals2.52Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%
Away share of expected goals 42.1%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchDorados
DWWLW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchTlaxcala FC
LLLDD
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
37%
Win probability excluding draw
32%10
Points from supplied form
21.46
Expected goals
1.06DoradosTlaxcala FC
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.
Match questions
Dorados vs Tlaxcala FC FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Dorados win 37%，Draw 31%，Tlaxcala FC win 32%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.52 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under。