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MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Final ·

Dorados vs Tlaxcala FC

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score2–2Predicție 1–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde37%
Egal31%
Victorie oaspeți32%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Pierdut
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde37% selection probability
Projected score1–1DoradosTlaxcala FC
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub54% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
37% / 31% / 32%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.2%)Șansă dublă1268.8%1.45
Peste 46% · Sub 54%Goals 2.5Sub54%1.85
Da 51% · Nu 49%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapDorados winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dorados win37%2.702.6335.9%+1.1 pp
Egal31%3.233.0031.5%-0.5 pp
Tlaxcala FC win32%3.132.9032.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dorados1.46

Gazde share of expected goals 57.9%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 46% · Sub 54%

Tlaxcala FC1.06

Oaspeți share of expected goals 42.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 51% · Nu 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Dorados

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Tlaxcala FC

0.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puncte2

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Câștig probability excluding draw
32%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.46
Expected goals
1.06
DoradosTlaxcala FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dorados signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tlaxcala FC signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Dorados vs Tlaxcala FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dorados câștig 37%,Egal 31%,Tlaxcala FC câștig 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Peste 2.5 46% · Current selection Sub