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MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Meci ·

Universidad Guadalajara vs Jaiba Brava

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.14 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde31%
Egal32%
Victorie oaspeți37%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Universidad GuadalajaraJaiba Brava
Expected goals2.14Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub64% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
31% / 32% / 37%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Universidad Guadalajara win (31.1%)Șansă dublăX268.9%1.45
Peste 36% · Sub 64%Goals 2.5Sub64%1.56
Da 43% · Nu 57%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu57%1.75
2.14 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Universidad Guadalajara win31%3.23
Egal32%3.13
Jaiba Brava win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Universidad Guadalajara0.98

Gazde share of expected goals 45.8%

Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 36% · Sub 64%

Jaiba Brava1.16

Oaspeți share of expected goals 54.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 43% · Nu 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Universidad Guadalajara

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Jaiba Brava

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalOaspeți clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Câștig probability excluding draw
37%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.98
Expected goals
1.16
Universidad GuadalajaraJaiba Brava
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Universidad Guadalajara signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jaiba Brava signalOaspeți clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Universidad Guadalajara vs Jaiba Brava FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Universidad Guadalajara câștig 31%,Egal 32%,Jaiba Brava câștig 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.14 · Peste 2.5 36% · Current selection Sub