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MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Trận đấu ·

Universidad Guadalajara vs Jaiba Brava

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–12.14 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng31%
Hòa32%
Đội khách thắng37%
Full model forecastĐội khách thắngTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Universidad GuadalajaraJaiba Brava
Expected goals2.14Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu64% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
31% / 32% / 37%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Universidad Guadalajara win (31.1%)Cơ hội képX268.9%1.45
Tài 36% · Xỉu 64%Goals 2.5Xỉu64%1.56
Có 43% · Không 57%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông57%1.75
2.14 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
9.9 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Không snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityTỷ lệ công bằng
Universidad Guadalajara win31%3.23
Hòa32%3.13
Jaiba Brava win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Universidad Guadalajara0.98

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 45.8%

Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 36% · Xỉu 64%

Jaiba Brava1.16

Khách share of expected goals 54.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 43% · Không 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Universidad Guadalajara

1.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Điểm6

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Jaiba Brava

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalKhách clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Thắng probability excluding draw
37%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.98
Expected goals
1.16
Universidad GuadalajaraJaiba Brava
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Universidad Guadalajara signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jaiba Brava signalKhách clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Universidad Guadalajara vs Jaiba Brava FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Universidad Guadalajara thắng 31%,Hòa 32%,Jaiba Brava thắng 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.14 · Tài 2.5 36% · Current selection Xỉu