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MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Kamp ·

Universidad Guadalajara vs Jaiba Brava

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.14 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier31%
Uavgjort32%
Borteseier37%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Universidad GuadalajaraJaiba Brava
Expected goals2.14Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under64% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
31% / 32% / 37%KampresultatBorteseier37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Universidad Guadalajara win (31.1%)Dobbel sjanseX268.9%1.45
Over 36% · Under 64%Goals 2.5Under64%1.56
Ja 43% · Nei 57%Begge lag scorerNei57%1.75
2.14 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Universidad Guadalajara win31%3.23
Uavgjort32%3.13
Jaiba Brava win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Universidad Guadalajara0.98

Hjemme share of expected goals 45.8%

Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 36% · Under 64%

Jaiba Brava1.16

Borte share of expected goals 54.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nei 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Universidad Guadalajara

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poeng6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Jaiba Brava

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalBorte clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
37%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.98
Expected goals
1.16
Universidad GuadalajaraJaiba Brava
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Universidad Guadalajara signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jaiba Brava signalBorte clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Universidad Guadalajara vs Jaiba Brava FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Universidad Guadalajara vunnet 31%,Uavgjort 32%,Jaiba Brava vunnet 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.14 · Over 2.5 36% · Current selection Under