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MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Final ·

Dorados vs Tlaxcala FC

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score2–2Previsão 1–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa37%
Empate31%
Vitória visitante32%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Errou
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa37% selection probability
Projected score1–1DoradosTlaxcala FC
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo54% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
37% / 31% / 32%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.2%)Dupla Chance1268.8%1.45
Acima 46% · Abaixo 54%Goals 2.5Abaixo54%1.85
Sim 51% · Não 49%Ambas as equipes marcamSim51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.2 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapDorados winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dorados win37%2.702.6335.9%+1.1 pp
Empate31%3.233.0031.5%-0.5 pp
Tlaxcala FC win32%3.132.9032.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dorados1.46

Mandante share of expected goals 57.9%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 46% · Abaixo 54%

Tlaxcala FC1.06

Visitante share of expected goals 42.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 51% · Não 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Dorados

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Tlaxcala FC

0.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontos2

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
32%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.46
Expected goals
1.06
DoradosTlaxcala FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dorados signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tlaxcala FC signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Dorados vs Tlaxcala FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dorados ganhou 37%,Empate 31%,Tlaxcala FC ganhou 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Acima 2.5 46% · Current selection Abaixo