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MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Final ·

Cancun FC vs Alacranes de Durango

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–0Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win44%
Draw28%
Away win28%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 44% selection probability
Prediction Won
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Cancun FCAlacranes de Durango
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 28% / 28%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alacranes de Durango win (27.6%)Double chance1X72.4%1.38
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.80 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cancun FC win44%2.272.1543.8%
Draw28%3.573.3028.5%
Alacranes de Durango win28%3.573.4027.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cancun FC1.60

Home share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

Alacranes de Durango1.20

Away share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Cancun FC

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalAway clean sheets: 2/3

Away-context · form sequence

Alacranes de Durango

2.00pts / match
Played3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Points6

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
28%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.60
Expected goals
1.20
Cancun FCAlacranes de Durango
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cancun FC signalAway clean sheets: 2/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alacranes de Durango signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Cancun FC vs Alacranes de Durango FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cancun FC win 44%,Draw 28%,Alacranes de Durango win 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over