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MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Final ·

Cancun FC vs Alacranes de Durango

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score2–0Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst44%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst28%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 44% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Cancun FCAlacranes de Durango
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven53% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
44% / 28% / 28%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alacranes de Durango win (27.6%)Dubbele Kans1X72.4%1.38
Boven 53% · Onder 47%Goals 2.5Boven53%1.89
Ja 57% · Nee 43%Beide teams scorenJa57%1.75
2.80 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cancun FC win44%2.272.1543.8%
Gelijkspel28%3.573.3028.5%
Alacranes de Durango win28%3.573.4027.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cancun FC1.60

Thuis share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 53% · Onder 47%

Alacranes de Durango1.20

Uit share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 57% · Nee 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Cancun FC

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalUit clean sheets: 2/3

Uit-context · form sequence

Alacranes de Durango

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Punten6

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
28%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.60
Expected goals
1.20
Cancun FCAlacranes de Durango
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cancun FC signalUit clean sheets: 2/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alacranes de Durango signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Cancun FC vs Alacranes de Durango FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cancun FC gewonnen 44%,Gelijkspel 28%,Alacranes de Durango gewonnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Boven 2.5 53% · Current selection Boven