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MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Final ·

Cancun FC vs Alacranes de Durango

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score2–0Pronostico 2–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa44%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite28%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 44% selection probability
Prediction Vinto
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Cancun FCAlacranes de Durango
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra53% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
44% / 28% / 28%Esito partitaVittoria casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alacranes de Durango win (27.6%)Doppia Chance1X72.4%1.38
Sopra 53% · Sotto 47%Goals 2.5Sopra53%1.89
Sì 57% · No 43%Entrambe le squadre segnano57%1.75
2.80 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cancun FC win44%2.272.1543.8%
Pareggio28%3.573.3028.5%
Alacranes de Durango win28%3.573.4027.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cancun FC1.60

Casa share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 53% · Sotto 47%

Alacranes de Durango1.20

Trasferta share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Cancun FC

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalTrasferta clean sheets: 2/3

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Alacranes de Durango

2.00pts / match
Giocate3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Punti6

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vinta probability excluding draw
28%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.60
Expected goals
1.20
Cancun FCAlacranes de Durango
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cancun FC signalTrasferta clean sheets: 2/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alacranes de Durango signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Cancun FC vs Alacranes de Durango FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cancun FC vinta 44%,Pareggio 28%,Alacranes de Durango vinta 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Sopra 2.5 53% · Current selection Sopra