Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 25% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Double chance1275.3%1.33
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Yes 66% · No 34%Both teams scoreYes66%1.52
3.31 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2——
10.6 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapFC Emmen winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ajax Reserves win34%2.942.8033.5%+0.5 pp
Draw25%4.003.8024.7%+0.3 pp
FC Emmen win41%2.442.2541.7%-0.7 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 50.2%
Total expected goals3.31Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%
Away share of expected goals 49.8%
Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 66% · No 34%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchAjax Reserves
LLLWL
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchFC Emmen
WWLLW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
34%
Win probability excluding draw
41%3
Points from supplied form
91.66
Expected goals
1.65Ajax ReservesFC Emmen
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Ajax Reserves vs FC Emmen FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Ajax Reserves win 34%，Draw 25%，FC Emmen win 41%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.31 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over。