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NLD Nederländerna - Eerste Divisie · Final ·

Ajax reserver vs FC Emmen

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score4–6Prognos 2–2
Borta form
Hemmaseger34%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger41%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 41% selection probability
Prediction Vunnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger41% selection probability
Projected score2–2Ajax reserverFC Emmen
Expected goals3.31Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över64% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
34% / 25% / 41%MatchresultatBortaseger41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Dubbelchans1275.3%1.33
Över 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Över64%1.56
Ja 66% · Nej 34%Båda lagen gör målJa66%1.52
3.31 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
10.6 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapFC Emmen winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ajax reserver win34%2.942.8033.5%+0.5 pp
Oavgjort25%4.003.8024.7%+0.3 pp
FC Emmen win41%2.442.2541.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ajax reserver1.66

Hemma share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals3.31Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 64% · Under 36%

FC Emmen1.65

Borta share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 66% · Nej 34%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Ajax reserver

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poäng3

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FC Emmen

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
41%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.66
Expected goals
1.65
Ajax reserverFC Emmen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ajax reserver signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Emmen signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Ajax reserver vs FC Emmen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ajax reserver vunnen 34%,Oavgjort 25%,FC Emmen vunnen 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Över 2.5 64% · Current selection Över