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NLD Nederland - Eerste divisie · Final ·

Jong Ajax vs FC Emmen

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score4–6Voorspelling 2–2
Uit form
Thuiswinst34%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst41%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 41% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst41% selection probability
Projected score2–2Jong AjaxFC Emmen
Expected goals3.31Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven64% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
34% / 25% / 41%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Dubbele Kans1275.3%1.33
Boven 64% · Onder 36%Goals 2.5Boven64%1.56
Ja 66% · Nee 34%Beide teams scorenJa66%1.52
3.31 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
10.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapFC Emmen winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Jong Ajax win34%2.942.8033.5%+0.5 pp
Gelijkspel25%4.003.8024.7%+0.3 pp
FC Emmen win41%2.442.2541.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Jong Ajax1.66

Thuis share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals3.31Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 64% · Onder 36%

FC Emmen1.65

Uit share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 66% · Nee 34%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Jong Ajax

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

FC Emmen

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
41%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.66
Expected goals
1.65
Jong AjaxFC Emmen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Jong Ajax signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Emmen signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Jong Ajax vs FC Emmen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Jong Ajax gewonnen 34%,Gelijkspel 25%,FC Emmen gewonnen 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Boven 2.5 64% · Current selection Boven