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NLD Netherlands Eerste Divisie · Final ·

FC Utrecht Reserves vs Vitesse

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–3Forecast 1–2
Away form
Home win28%
Draw26%
Away win46%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 46% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win46% selection probability
Projected score1–2FC Utrecht ReservesVitesse
Expected goals3.00Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over58% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
28% / 26% / 46%Match resultAway win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.2%)Double chance1273.8%1.36
Over 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Over58%1.72
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.00 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapFC Utrecht Reserves winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Utrecht Reserves win28%3.573.4027.8%+0.2 pp
Draw26%3.853.6026.2%-0.2 pp
Vitesse win46%2.172.0546%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Utrecht Reserves1.44

Home share of expected goals 48%

Total expected goals3.00Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 58% · Under 42%

Vitesse1.56

Away share of expected goals 52%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Utrecht Reserves

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Vitesse

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Points7

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Win probability excluding draw
46%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.44
Expected goals
1.56
FC Utrecht ReservesVitesse
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Utrecht Reserves signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vitesse signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FC Utrecht Reserves vs Vitesse FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Utrecht Reserves win 28%,Draw 26%,Vitesse win 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.00 · Over 2.5 58% · Current selection Over