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AUT Austria 2. Liga · Fixture ·

SK Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Vienna II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.86 expected goals
Away form
Home win35%
Draw25%
Away win40%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win40% selection probability
Projected score1–2SK Sturm Graz IIRapid Vienna II
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
35% / 25% / 40%Match resultAway win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Double chance1274.6%1.34
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.86 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.7%Largest probability gapRapid Vienna II winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SK Sturm Graz II win35%2.862.6035.1%-0.1 pp
Draw25%4.003.6025.3%-0.3 pp
Rapid Vienna II win40%2.502.3039.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SK Sturm Graz II1.35

Home share of expected goals 47.2%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

Rapid Vienna II1.51

Away share of expected goals 52.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

SK Sturm Graz II

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Rapid Vienna II

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Win probability excluding draw
40%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.35
Expected goals
1.51
SK Sturm Graz IIRapid Vienna II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SK Sturm Graz II signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rapid Vienna II signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

SK Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Vienna II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SK Sturm Graz II win 35%,Draw 25%,Rapid Vienna II win 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over