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AUT Oostenrijk - 2. Liga · Wedstrijd ·

SK Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Vienna II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–22.86 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst35%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst40%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst40% selection probability
Projected score1–2SK Sturm Graz IIRapid Vienna II
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven55% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
35% / 25% / 40%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Dubbele Kans1274.6%1.34
Boven 55% · Onder 45%Goals 2.5Boven55%1.82
Ja 58% · Nee 42%Beide teams scorenJa58%1.72
2.86 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
9.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.7%Largest probability gapRapid Vienna II winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SK Sturm Graz II win35%2.862.6035.1%-0.1 pp
Gelijkspel25%4.003.6025.3%-0.3 pp
Rapid Vienna II win40%2.502.3039.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SK Sturm Graz II1.35

Thuis share of expected goals 47.2%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 55% · Onder 45%

Rapid Vienna II1.51

Uit share of expected goals 52.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 58% · Nee 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

SK Sturm Graz II

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Rapid Vienna II

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
40%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.35
Expected goals
1.51
SK Sturm Graz IIRapid Vienna II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SK Sturm Graz II signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rapid Vienna II signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

SK Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Vienna II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SK Sturm Graz II gewonnen 35%,Gelijkspel 25%,Rapid Vienna II gewonnen 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Boven 2.5 55% · Current selection Boven