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AUT Österreich - 2. Liga · Spiel ·

SK Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–22.86 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg35%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg40%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg40% selection probability
Projected score1–2SK Sturm Graz IIRapid Wien II
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über55% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
35% / 25% / 40%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Doppelte Chance1274.6%1.34
Über 55% · Unter 45%Goals 2.5Über55%1.82
Ja 58% · Nein 42%Beide Teams treffenJa58%1.72
2.86 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
9.8 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.7%Largest probability gapRapid Wien II winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SK Sturm Graz II win35%2.862.6035.1%-0.1 pp
Unentschieden25%4.003.6025.3%-0.3 pp
Rapid Wien II win40%2.502.3039.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SK Sturm Graz II1.35

Heim share of expected goals 47.2%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 55% · Unter 45%

Rapid Wien II1.51

Auswärts share of expected goals 52.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 58% · Nein 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

SK Sturm Graz II

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Rapid Wien II

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
40%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.35
Expected goals
1.51
SK Sturm Graz IIRapid Wien II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SK Sturm Graz II signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rapid Wien II signalHeim failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

SK Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SK Sturm Graz II Gewinn 35%,Unentschieden 25%,Rapid Wien II Gewinn 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Über 2.5 55% · Current selection Über