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AUT Autriche - 2. Liga · Match ·

SK Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Vienne II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–22.86 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile35%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur40%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur40% selection probability
Projected score1–2SK Sturm Graz IIRapid Vienne II
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de55% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
35% / 25% / 40%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Double chance1274.6%1.34
Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%Goals 2.5Plus de55%1.82
Oui 58% · Non 42%Les deux équipes marquentOui58%1.72
2.86 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
9.8 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.7%Largest probability gapRapid Vienne II winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SK Sturm Graz II win35%2.862.6035.1%-0.1 pp
Nul25%4.003.6025.3%-0.3 pp
Rapid Vienne II win40%2.502.3039.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SK Sturm Graz II1.35

Domicile share of expected goals 47.2%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%

Rapid Vienne II1.51

Extérieur share of expected goals 52.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 58% · Non 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

SK Sturm Graz II

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Rapid Vienne II

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Gagné probability excluding draw
40%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.35
Expected goals
1.51
SK Sturm Graz IIRapid Vienne II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SK Sturm Graz II signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rapid Vienne II signalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

SK Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Vienne II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SK Sturm Graz II victoire 35%,Nul 25%,Rapid Vienne II victoire 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Plus de 2.5 55% · Current selection Plus de