Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
51% / 26% / 24%Match resultHome win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SV Austria Salzburg win (23.8%)Double chance1X76.2%1.31
Over 36% · Under 64%Goals 2.5Under64%1.56
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
2.11 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin9.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St Polten win51%1.961.8050.7%+0.3 pp
Draw26%3.853.6025.3%+0.7 pp
SV Austria Salzburg win24%4.173.8024%0.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 63.5%
Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 36% · Under 64%
Away share of expected goals 36.5%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchSt Polten
LLLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchSV Austria Salzburg
WLWWD
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome failed to score: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
51%
Win probability excluding draw
24%0
Points from supplied form
101.34
Expected goals
0.77St PoltenSV Austria Salzburg
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
St Polten vs SV Austria Salzburg FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
St Polten win 51%，Draw 26%，SV Austria Salzburg win 24%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.11 · Over 2.5 36% · Current selection Under。