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POL Poland II Liga · Fixture ·

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Hutnik Krakow

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.99 expected goals
Away form
Home win48%
Draw27%
Away win25%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win48% selection probability
Projected score1–1Podhale Nowy TargHutnik Krakow
Expected goals1.99Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under68% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 27% / 25%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hutnik Krakow win (25.4%)Double chance1X74.6%1.34
Over 32% · Under 68%Goals 2.5Under68%1.47
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
1.99 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapPodhale Nowy Targ winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Podhale Nowy Targ win48%2.081.8548.6%-0.6 pp
Draw27%3.703.4026.4%+0.6 pp
Hutnik Krakow win25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Podhale Nowy Targ1.06

Home share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals1.99Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 32% · Under 68%

Hutnik Krakow0.93

Away share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Podhale Nowy Targ

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Hutnik Krakow

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Win probability excluding draw
25%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.06
Expected goals
0.93
Podhale Nowy TargHutnik Krakow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Podhale Nowy Targ signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hutnik Krakow signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Hutnik Krakow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Podhale Nowy Targ win 48%,Draw 27%,Hutnik Krakow win 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.99 · Over 2.5 32% · Current selection Under