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POL Poland II Liga · Матч ·

Подхале Новы Тарг vs Хутник Краков

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.99 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев48%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей25%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев48% selection probability
Projected score1–1Подхале Новы ТаргХутник Краков
Expected goals1.99Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше68% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
48% / 27% / 25%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Хутник Краков win (25.4%)Двойной шанс1X74.6%1.34
Больше 32% · Меньше 68%Goals 2.5Меньше68%1.47
Да 40% · Нет 60%Обе забьютНет60%1.67
1.99 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.9 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapПодхале Новы Тарг winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Подхале Новы Тарг win48%2.081.8548.6%-0.6 pp
Ничья27%3.703.4026.4%+0.6 pp
Хутник Краков win25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Подхале Новы Тарг1.06

Хозяева share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals1.99Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 32% · Меньше 68%

Хутник Краков0.93

Гости share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 40% · Нет 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Подхале Новы Тарг

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева won 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Хутник Краков

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
25%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.06
Expected goals
0.93
Подхале Новы ТаргХутник Краков
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Подхале Новы Тарг signalХозяева won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Хутник Краков signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Подхале Новы Тарг vs Хутник Краков FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Подхале Новы Тарг выигрыш 48%,Ничья 27%,Хутник Краков выигрыш 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.99 · ТБ 2.5 32% · Current selection Меньше