Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
59% / 28% / 13%Match resultHome win59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Almagro win (12.9%)Double chance1X87.1%1.15
Over 23% · Under 77%Goals 2.5Under77%1.30
Yes 28% · No 72%Both teams scoreNo72%1.39
1.66 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapQuilmes winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Quilmes win59%1.691.5759.8%-0.8 pp
Draw28%3.573.4027.6%+0.4 pp
Almagro win13%7.697.5012.5%+0.5 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 67.5%
Total expected goals1.66Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 23% · Under 77%
Away share of expected goals 32.5%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 28% · No 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchQuilmes
WDLLW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchAlmagro
LDWLW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome won 2/3 recent home matches
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
59%
Win probability excluding draw
13%7
Points from supplied form
71.12
Expected goals
0.54QuilmesAlmagro
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Quilmes vs Almagro FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 59% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Quilmes win 59%，Draw 28%，Almagro win 13%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.66 · Over 2.5 23% · Current selection Under。