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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Partido ·

Quilmes vs Almagro

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.66 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local59%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante13%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local59% selection probability
Projected score1–1QuilmesAlmagro
Expected goals1.66Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de77% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
59% / 28% / 13%Resultado del partidoVictoria local59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Almagro win (12.9%)Doble Oportunidad1X87.1%1.15
Más de 23% · Menos de 77%Goals 2.5Menos de77%1.30
Sí 28% · No 72%Ambos equipos marcanNo72%1.39
1.66 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapQuilmes winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Quilmes win59%1.691.5759.8%-0.8 pp
Empate28%3.573.4027.6%+0.4 pp
Almagro win13%7.697.5012.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Quilmes1.12

Local share of expected goals 67.5%

Total expected goals1.66Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 23% · Menos de 77%

Almagro0.54

Visitante share of expected goals 32.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 28% · No 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Quilmes

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Almagro

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Ganado probability excluding draw
13%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.12
Expected goals
0.54
QuilmesAlmagro
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Quilmes signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Almagro signalLocal won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Quilmes vs Almagro FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Quilmes ganada 59%,Empate 28%,Almagro ganada 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.66 · Más de 2.5 23% · Current selection Menos de