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INT Chile Liga de Primera · Fixture ·

Deportes Concepcion vs Universidad de Concepcion

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.33 expected goals
Away form
Home win50%
Draw28%
Away win22%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Deportes ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
50% / 28% / 22%Match resultHome win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Universidad de Concepcion win (21.8%)Double chance1X78.2%1.28
Over 41% · Under 59%Goals 2.5Under59%1.69
Yes 39% · No 61%Both teams scoreNo61%1.64
2.33 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.3%Largest probability gapDeportes Concepcion winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportes Concepcion win50%2.001.9049%+1.0 pp
Draw28%3.573.3028.2%-0.2 pp
Universidad de Concepcion win22%4.554.1022.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportes Concepcion1.70

Home share of expected goals 73%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 41% · Under 59%

Universidad de Concepcion0.63

Away share of expected goals 27%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 39% · No 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Deportes Concepcion

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Universidad de Concepcion

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Win probability excluding draw
22%
12
Points from supplied form
5
1.70
Expected goals
0.63
Deportes ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportes Concepcion signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Universidad de Concepcion signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Deportes Concepcion vs Universidad de Concepcion FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportes Concepcion win 50%,Draw 28%,Universidad de Concepcion win 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · Over 2.5 41% · Current selection Under