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INT Chile Liga de Primera · Fixture ·

Union La Calera vs Colo Colo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.91 expected goals
Away form
Home win22%
Draw26%
Away win52%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win52% selection probability
Projected score1–2Union La CaleraColo Colo
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
22% / 26% / 52%Match resultAway win52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Union La Calera win (22.4%)Double chanceX277.6%1.29
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
2.91 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.7%Largest probability gapUnion La Calera winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Union La Calera win22%4.554.1022.6%-0.6 pp
Draw26%3.853.6025.8%+0.2 pp
Colo Colo win52%1.921.8051.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Union La Calera1.02

Home share of expected goals 35.1%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Colo Colo1.89

Away share of expected goals 64.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Union La Calera

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Colo Colo

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Win probability excluding draw
52%
3
Points from supplied form
15
1.02
Expected goals
1.89
Union La CaleraColo Colo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Union La Calera signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Colo Colo signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Union La Calera vs Colo Colo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Union La Calera win 22%,Draw 26%,Colo Colo win 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over