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UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
INT Chile Liga de Primera · Wedstrijd ·

Deportes Concepcion vs Universidad de Concepcion

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.32 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst50%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst22%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Deportes ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder59% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
50% / 28% / 22%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Universidad de Concepcion win (21.8%)Dubbele Kans1X78.2%1.28
Boven 41% · Onder 59%Goals 2.5Onder59%1.69
Ja 39% · Nee 61%Beide teams scorenNee61%1.64
2.32 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.3%Largest probability gapDeportes Concepcion winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportes Concepcion win50%2.001.9049%+1.0 pp
Gelijkspel28%3.573.3028.2%-0.2 pp
Universidad de Concepcion win22%4.554.1022.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportes Concepcion1.68

Thuis share of expected goals 72.4%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 41% · Onder 59%

Universidad de Concepcion0.64

Uit share of expected goals 27.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 39% · Nee 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Deportes Concepcion

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Universidad de Concepcion

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
22%
12
Points from supplied form
5
1.68
Expected goals
0.64
Deportes ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportes Concepcion signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Universidad de Concepcion signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Deportes Concepcion vs Universidad de Concepcion FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportes Concepcion gewonnen 50%,Gelijkspel 28%,Universidad de Concepcion gewonnen 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · Boven 2.5 41% · Current selection Onder