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INT Chile Liga de Primera · Wedstrijd ·

Universidad de Chile vs Palestino

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst49%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst22%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst49% selection probability
Projected score1–1Universidad de ChilePalestino
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
49% / 30% / 22%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Palestino win (21.7%)Dubbele Kans1X78.3%1.28
Boven 37% · Onder 63%Goals 2.5Onder63%1.59
Ja 39% · Nee 61%Beide teams scorenNee61%1.64
2.19 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Universidad de Chile win49%2.04
Gelijkspel30%3.33
Palestino win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Universidad de Chile1.49

Thuis share of expected goals 68%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 37% · Onder 63%

Palestino0.70

Uit share of expected goals 32%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 39% · Nee 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Universidad de Chile

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Palestino

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
22%
13
Points from supplied form
8
1.49
Expected goals
0.70
Universidad de ChilePalestino
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Universidad de Chile signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Palestino signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Universidad de Chile vs Palestino FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Universidad de Chile gewonnen 49%,Gelijkspel 30%,Palestino gewonnen 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Boven 2.5 37% · Current selection Onder