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INT Chile Liga de Primera · Match ·

Universidad de Chile vs Palestino

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.20 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger49%
Oavgjort30%
Bortaseger21%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Universidad de ChilePalestino
Expected goals2.20Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under62% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
49% / 30% / 21%MatchresultatHemmaseger49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Palestino win (21.4%)Dubbelchans1X78.6%1.27
Över 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Ja 39% · Nej 61%Båda lagen gör målNej61%1.64
2.20 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Universidad de Chile win49%2.04
Oavgjort30%3.33
Palestino win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Universidad de Chile1.51

Hemma share of expected goals 68.6%

Total expected goals2.20Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 38% · Under 62%

Palestino0.69

Borta share of expected goals 31.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 39% · Nej 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Universidad de Chile

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Palestino

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
21%
13
Points from supplied form
8
1.51
Expected goals
0.69
Universidad de ChilePalestino
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Universidad de Chile signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Palestino signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Universidad de Chile vs Palestino FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Universidad de Chile vunnen 49%,Oavgjort 30%,Palestino vunnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.20 · Över 2.5 38% · Current selection Under