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INT Bulgaria Second League · Fixture ·

Sportist Svoge vs Pirin Blagoevgrad

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.30 expected goals
Away form
Home win36%
Draw30%
Away win34%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportist SvogePirin Blagoevgrad
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 30% / 34%Match resultHome win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.5%)Double chance1269.5%1.44
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.30 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Sportist Svoge win36%2.78
Draw30%3.33
Pirin Blagoevgrad win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportist Svoge1.18

Home share of expected goals 51.3%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%

Pirin Blagoevgrad1.12

Away share of expected goals 48.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sportist Svoge

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Pirin Blagoevgrad

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
8
Points from supplied form
2
1.18
Expected goals
1.12
Sportist SvogePirin Blagoevgrad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportist Svoge signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pirin Blagoevgrad signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Sportist Svoge vs Pirin Blagoevgrad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportist Svoge win 36%,Draw 30%,Pirin Blagoevgrad win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under