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INT Bulgaria Second League · Maç ·

Sportist Svoge vs Pirin Blagoevgrad

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.30 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır36%
Beraberlik30%
Deplasman kazanır34%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportist SvogePirin Blagoevgrad
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt60% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
36% / 30% / 34%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.5%)Çifte Şans1269.5%1.44
Üst 40% · Alt 60%Goals 2.5Alt60%1.67
Evet 47% · Hayır 53%Karşılıklı gol varHayır53%1.89
2.30 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.5 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Sportist Svoge win36%2.78
Beraberlik30%3.33
Pirin Blagoevgrad win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportist Svoge1.18

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 51.3%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 40% · Alt 60%

Pirin Blagoevgrad1.12

Deplasman share of expected goals 48.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 47% · Hayır 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Sportist Svoge

1.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puan8

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Pirin Blagoevgrad

0.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puan2

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
34%
8
Points from supplied form
2
1.18
Expected goals
1.12
Sportist SvogePirin Blagoevgrad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportist Svoge signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pirin Blagoevgrad signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Sportist Svoge vs Pirin Blagoevgrad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportist Svoge kazanç 36%,Beraberlik 30%,Pirin Blagoevgrad kazanç 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · 2.5 Üst 40% · Current selection Alt