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INT Bulgaria Second League · Zápas ·

Sportist Svoge vs Pirin Blagoevgrad

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–12.29 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich36%
Remíza31%
Výhra hostí34%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportist SvogePirin Blagoevgrad
Expected goals2.29Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej60% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
36% / 31% / 34%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.5%)Dvojitá šanca1269.5%1.44
Viac 40% · Menej 60%Goals 2.5Menej60%1.67
Áno 47% · Nie 53%Oba tímy skórujúNie53%1.89
2.29 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
9.5 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Sportist Svoge win36%2.78
Remíza31%3.23
Pirin Blagoevgrad win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportist Svoge1.17

Domáci share of expected goals 51.1%

Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 40% · Menej 60%

Pirin Blagoevgrad1.12

Hostia share of expected goals 48.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 47% · Nie 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Sportist Svoge

1.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Pirin Blagoevgrad

0.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Body2

SignalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Výhra probability excluding draw
34%
8
Points from supplied form
2
1.17
Expected goals
1.12
Sportist SvogePirin Blagoevgrad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportist Svoge signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pirin Blagoevgrad signalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Sportist Svoge vs Pirin Blagoevgrad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportist Svoge výhra 36%,Remíza 31%,Pirin Blagoevgrad výhra 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.29 · Viac 2.5 40% · Current selection Menej