MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
INT Bulgaria Second League · Fixture ·

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa vs FK Fratria

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.63 expected goals
Away form
Home win22%
Draw27%
Away win51%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win51% selection probability
Projected score1–2Lokomotiv Gorna OryahovitsaFK Fratria
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
22% / 27% / 51%Match resultAway win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa win (21.9%)Double chanceX278.1%1.28
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.63 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa win22%4.55
Draw27%3.70
FK Fratria win51%1.96

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa0.85

Home share of expected goals 32.3%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

FK Fratria1.78

Away share of expected goals 67.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

FK Fratria

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Win probability excluding draw
51%
4
Points from supplied form
5
0.85
Expected goals
1.78
Lokomotiv Gorna OryahovitsaFK Fratria
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Fratria signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa vs FK Fratria FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa win 22%,Draw 27%,FK Fratria win 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under