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INT Bulgaria Second League · Wedstrijd ·

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa vs FK Fratria

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–22.63 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst22%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst51%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst51% selection probability
Projected score1–2Lokomotiv Gorna OryahovitsaFK Fratria
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
22% / 27% / 51%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa win (21.9%)Dubbele KansX278.1%1.28
Boven 49% · Onder 51%Goals 2.5Onder51%1.96
Ja 48% · Nee 52%Beide teams scorenNee52%1.92
2.63 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa win22%4.55
Gelijkspel27%3.70
FK Fratria win51%1.96

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa0.85

Thuis share of expected goals 32.3%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 49% · Onder 51%

FK Fratria1.78

Uit share of expected goals 67.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 48% · Nee 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

FK Fratria

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
51%
4
Points from supplied form
5
0.85
Expected goals
1.78
Lokomotiv Gorna OryahovitsaFK Fratria
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Fratria signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa vs FK Fratria FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa gewonnen 22%,Gelijkspel 27%,FK Fratria gewonnen 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Boven 2.5 49% · Current selection Onder