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INT Bulgaria Second League · Match ·

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa vs FK Fratria

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.63 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger22%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger51%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger51% selection probability
Projected score1–2Lokomotiv Gorna OryahovitsaFK Fratria
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
22% / 27% / 51%MatchresultatBortaseger51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa win (21.9%)DubbelchansX278.1%1.28
Över 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 48% · Nej 52%Båda lagen gör målNej52%1.92
2.63 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa win22%4.55
Oavgjort27%3.70
FK Fratria win51%1.96

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa0.85

Hemma share of expected goals 32.3%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 49% · Under 51%

FK Fratria1.78

Borta share of expected goals 67.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 48% · Nej 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FK Fratria

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
51%
4
Points from supplied form
5
0.85
Expected goals
1.78
Lokomotiv Gorna OryahovitsaFK Fratria
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Fratria signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa vs FK Fratria FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa vunnen 22%,Oavgjort 27%,FK Fratria vunnen 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Över 2.5 49% · Current selection Under