Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
35% / 34% / 31%Match resultHome win35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Stevenage win (30.9%)Double chance1X69.1%1.45
Over 25% · Under 75%Goals 2.5Under75%1.33
Yes 34% · No 66%Both teams scoreNo66%1.52
1.74 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Burton Albion win35%2.86
Draw34%2.94
Stevenage win31%3.23
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 52.9%
Total expected goals1.74Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 25% · Under 75%
Away share of expected goals 47.1%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 34% · No 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchBurton Albion
LDDDW
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchStevenage
WDLLW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
35%
Win probability excluding draw
31%6
Points from supplied form
70.92
Expected goals
0.82Burton AlbionStevenage
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 34%.
Match questions
Burton Albion vs Stevenage FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Burton Albion win 35%，Draw 34%，Stevenage win 31%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.74 · Over 2.5 25% · Current selection Under。