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Бъртън Албиън vs Стивънидж

Archived pre-match prediction

Домакин form
Projected score1–11.74 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина35%
Равен34%
Победа за госта31%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Бъртън АлбиънСтивънидж
Expected goals1.74Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под75% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
35% / 34% / 31%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Стивънидж win (30.9%)Двоен шанс1X69.1%1.45
Над 25% · Под 75%Goals 2.5Под75%1.33
Да 34% · Не 66%И двата отбора да отбележатНе66%1.52
1.74 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Бъртън Албиън win35%2.86
Равен34%2.94
Стивънидж win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Бъртън Албиън0.92

Домакин share of expected goals 52.9%

Total expected goals1.74Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 25% · Под 75%

Стивънидж0.82

Гост share of expected goals 47.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 34% · Не 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Бъртън Албиън

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Точки6

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Стивънидж

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalГост matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.92
Expected goals
0.82
Бъртън АлбиънСтивънидж
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Бъртън Албиън signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Стивънидж signalГост matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Бъртън Албиън vs Стивънидж FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Бъртън Албиън печеливш 35%,Равен 34%,Стивънидж печеливш 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.74 · Над 2.5 25% · Current selection Под